I see it all the time with my players. Ones that play way above their ratings . I don't notice under achievers, but it probably happens. In this league I had a highly rated Qb that has the
record for picks . Meanwhile sitting on my bench was what appeared to be a so so Qb.
When I finally had enough of the picks. I benched him and my backup lite it up !

What made 2045 post season an outlier?

Parity attempt by JDB.

I think we all caught on too quickly and stymied his Big Move.

QB's control a massive part of the game and he figured the elite GMs wouldn't catch on and would fall into the trap of drafting them for a long time only to be brought down to the GM Pack unable to figure out why they're cascading to mediocrity.

....

Another way he used QBs was to have hard playing GMs waste picks on them. I remember Michael77 chasing the carrot on the stick of the 100 vol/100 accuracy hopes and dreams over and over only for the player to bust.

Diabolical JDB is always looking to push parity. He never vocalized it - too much - but Ray played him out by being way too vocal about it being an agenda. JDB's hype man and mouth piece. (Flava Flav - YEAHHHHHHHHHHHH BOY!!!!!!!!!!!)

A bad clutch rating is only 1 of hundreds of variables including owner/opponent plus having a bad clutch rating wouldn't negate good Ole fashion luck and the 2 owners skill level.

Every player/team/owner can go on winning or losing streaks but I'm more interested in the totality of the data.

If he worst owner in MFN beats the best owner in MFN it doesn't mean they swap places

I'm pulling it up now. I was determined to win the title in that league; hadn't had one yet. I gotta pull up the 3 opponents now.

1 was Ai - 1 I know how to attack his scheme and TwoThirds isn't on my level.

I only ask because the ratio is skewed, wasn't factoring in that being a hot stretch. Didn't seem like this QB has many moments of going 5:0 at any other 3 game stretch.

Preseason, I thought I saw he dominated. (back-ups)

I probably can get him to post advantageous stats when I have a significant advantage in play-2-play call and/or talent level on the field.

The irony is Smirt is just 1 of 300 datasets, assuming 300 owners are playing his game.

Smirts data is an outlier at one extreme while owners who constantly lose and never win or make the playoffs is the other.

Assuming JDB knows statistics and he doesn't remove outliers in the data which he shouldn't since every owner is part of the population he wants to evaluate then Smirts data falls in line since in a normal distribution, approximately 1 in 340 observations will be at least three standard deviations away from the mean.

So what's the irony? If outliers to the other extreme (losing/bad stats) don't match and wash out Smirt's success then the more Smirt has success, the more the mean is raised which forces JDB to change the code to make the sim harder.

The possibility exists that JDB removes 1% of the outliers on both ends to establish the mean of his data which means nothing Smirt doesnt impact the sim at all.

You have to understand, JDB as the developer doesn't pay attention to leagues or specific owners....he has to evaluate the data from 50,000 feet. He works alone and Raymattison or Setherick can say what they want but it's JDB's code and vision we all play.

He doesn't allow anyone to access his code, why would he? He didn't single-handedly write the code for others to screw with it or even influence other then to play the sim and become 1 of 300 data points. That's been proven over time, see Sethericks and Raymattisons impatience and hatred of the code as it exist now.

I just accept that I'm part of an experiment which has taken years and probably decades to run with no end in sight.

https://mfn2.myfootballnow.com/player/16417

Player should be age 27.

Experience/Year Chart

Experience: 8 - Age 29
Experience: 7 - Age 28
Experience 6 - Age 27

Apprehended JDB again.

https://mfn2.myfootballnow.com/draft-history/results/gGBanSyBbSwCoIyoP0PKG2OSlQEIf7d7

Red shirt then 5th year Plus covid year